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Official Occifer Vibes Weather Discussion


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#1 Occifer Boland

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 02:52 PM

I edited .. soon.. and here is the 10 day preliminary forecast as of Monday July 15, 2013 at 8pm.    

At this stage, my confidence level is below 50%..  i am going by a couple of my favorite forecast models that most meteorologists use as well as trends in the jet stream, low pressure and high pressure movements..   

 

This discussion will not be extensive ; but informative.    I will not detail each day, yet..  that is coming.... soon.  By thursday i will feel more confident in forecasting each,individual day.    

 

Currently, the weather pattern is swamp ass hot up here in the Northeast..  The heat wave should break by early saturday and dip back down into the 80's.   THIS means good things for the temperatures for the VIBES.   Most signs are pointing at temperatures to be in the low to possible mid 80's for the duration of VIBES weekend.  Unfortunately, it may be humid with the absence of High Pressure to keep tropical moisture to the south.   Currently over texas there is a massive circular low pressure that is not allowing for any major weather systems to travel across the country from west to east, as is conventionally done.   It is uncertain when that low will move further enough north to allow for a traditional jet stream flow across the country.    

 

I apologize for all the weather jargin here... just trying to print my thoughts out in what could be a decent weekend of Weather for VIBES.    

 

The main thing i see lacking is HIgh pressure in the northeast by mid next week.. that would suppress any major storms to the south.  

 

So, currently it looks like there is the chance of isolated showers Thursday and Friday of Vibes..   Saturday seems to be dream weather with sun and 80 degrees... Sunday brings the threat of more showers.     i know i said i wouldn't give a day by day forecast... but after this thursday i will be able to put more detail in to each day.. meaning how weather will be in mornings, afternoons, and nights.    

 

with that said... Bring on the Duct tape... grab your cameras.. cause the Occifer is going Naked Ferris Wheelin' !!!   

p.s, bobby weir is not playing this vibes... so don't expect long duration of heavy downpours.



#2 Occifer Boland

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 02:56 PM

Silver or black duct tape?

#3 Depends

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 02:59 PM

I predict long periods of Ferris Wheel riding for the occifer.



#4 PieDoh

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 03:33 PM

hot, humid, 50% chance of thundershowers.


61° overnight temps fri night , maybe sat too

#5 concert andy

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 03:36 PM

I predict long periods of Ferris Wheel riding for the occifer.

 

And duct tape, lots of duct tape.  :lol:



#6 TakeAStepBack

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 03:47 PM

hot, humid, 50% chance of thundershowers.

 

Pretty much, yeah.



#7 Terrapin Station

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 03:53 PM

Im going with low 80's, sun and not that humid. I think this heat wave is gonna get it all nicey and nice for vibes.  :smile:



#8 In A Silent Way

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 03:58 PM

Dark, with gradual light toward morning.



#9 u.s.blues

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 03:58 PM

90% chance of unicorns, and rainbows



#10 concert andy

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 04:01 PM

90% chance of unicorns, and rainbows

 

Can we kill the unicorn and have a unicorn roast?



#11 SunshineDrummer

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 04:02 PM

Im going with low 80's, sun and not that humid. I think this heat wave is gonna get it all nicey and nice for vibes.  :smile:

 

This is what I'm praying for. 



#12 tyedyedee

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 04:05 PM

i paid my dues at mtn jam...i am due for some breezy, sunny, not humid weather, yo :pimp:



#13 Occifer Boland

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 05:48 PM

It's looking promising .. Well, for the Unicom roast at least

#14 mayfly

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 05:53 PM

And duct tape, lots of duct tape.   :lol:

 

 

THIS  ! ! !!!



#15 Feck

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 06:00 PM

Can we kill the unicorn and have a unicorn roast?

 

This is what I'm praying for. 


 



#16 sneakyjack

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 06:01 PM

100% Pleasure at the DOME.

"Soon" we will know.



#17 In A Silent Way

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 06:44 PM

tumblr_m5tvwtISde1qimnrpo1_1280.jpg



#18 Feesh

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 06:48 PM



#19 Feesh

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 06:48 PM



#20 Jwheelz

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 07:07 PM

:packs winter coat & 20,000 BTU heater: :coffee:



#21 u.s.blues

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 07:22 PM

Can we kill the unicorn and have a unicorn roast?

 

that, i don't know. 



#22 JBetty

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 07:23 PM

Ask Tabbooma



#23 concert andy

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 07:25 PM

tumblr_m5tvwtISde1qimnrpo1_1280.jpg

 

 

I think Magic and Dreams will taste the best.



#24 JBetty

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Posted 15 July 2013 - 07:28 PM

Love and Superglue are Unicorn bacon.



#25 Occifer Boland

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 12:03 AM

edited forecast up top...   next update will be either tomorrow night or Wednesday morning.   Bourbon time



#26 VSCT

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 12:06 AM

This is our weather report:

 



#27 hippieskichick

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 01:00 AM

Dark, with gradual light toward morning.

 

The weather will continue to change, on and off, for a long, long time.



#28 Julius

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 01:05 AM

Cool! Now I have someone to blame if it's not perfect! :jamguy:



#29 Slarti

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 01:53 AM

if you wear a broadcrafted tinfoil hat, your sunburn will be less severe :lol:



#30 Java Time

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 12:06 PM

I just need it to be under a 100 degrees during the day...coupla day bands I wanna check out.

#31 Occifer Boland

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 12:35 PM

It will not be 100 degrees for any of VIBES weekend... Probably wont get to 90, either

#32 Depends

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 12:40 PM

So far so good Occifer....



#33 tyedyedee

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 12:40 PM

It will not be 100 degrees for any of VIBES weekend... Probably wont get to 90, either

i am quoting you on that! :spank:



#34 Java Time

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 12:43 PM

It will not be 100 degrees for any of VIBES weekend... Probably wont get to 90, either


Bold claim weatherboy...you best be right :joker:

#35 gdradio

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 01:33 PM

100% Pleasure at the DOME.

"Soon" we will know.

 

This is what I'm praying for.



#36 gdradio

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 01:35 PM

i really do cherish this thread.

 

the potential promise of decent weather at Vibes is what really gets me excited!

 

thanks Occifer!



#37 Tim the Beek

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 01:42 PM

I'm curious what effect the stalling of the Spidergawd area of, um, high pressure over the midwest is having on the models



#38 Occifer Boland

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 01:43 PM

I am holding myself to it not being a heat wave.... One of the latest runs of the global forecast model(GFS).. Has dreamy paradise weather... Will it hold up.. Not sure... But I am putting hours each day for the next week to keep you guys as up to date as possible......... Fr those that don't know, I actually did minor in meteorology. At this given time.. It shows sunny and 80 each day.. Just under 70 at night

#39 Lostsailr

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 01:55 PM

Love and Superglue are Unicorn bacon.

OMG that was my exact thought whe I saw the pic, 



#40 JamOnIt247

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 02:00 PM

tumblr_m5tvwtISde1qimnrpo1_1280.jpg

 

 

Stars isnt in the right place. its supposed to be up a little higher for Star Fish. lol

 

with that said.... "Never play leap frog with a unicorn."  ... by Jesse D



#41 mayfly

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 02:31 PM

p.s, bobby weir is not playing this vibes... so don't expect long duration of heavy downpours.  :cheerleader:

 

 

and always opt for black duct tape when the option presents itself, 100 mph tape is even better.  Interns be scared, very scared :censor:



#42 SunshineDrummer

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 02:45 PM

The way in advance forecast seems to bear out the Occifer's claim so far (only goes through Friday at this point):

 

Thursday
partlycloudy.gif Clear. High of 81F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Thursday Night
nt_clear.gif Clear. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Friday
chancetstorms.gif Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 82F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Friday Night
nt_clear.gif Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.


#43 Occifer Boland

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 02:54 PM



and always opt for black duct tape when the option presents itself, 100 mph tape is even better. Interns be scared, very scared :censor:[/quote]

Gonna miss u this year mayfly!!!

#44 Depends

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 02:56 PM


... Fr those that don't know, I actually did a minor in meteorology.

 

Wait, what??



#45 Occifer Boland

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 03:11 PM

Good catch.... She told me she was 18

#46 Java Time

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 03:49 PM

18?!? IN THE THIRD GRADE?!? :tapfoot:

#47 mayfly

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 06:19 PM

Good catch.... She told me she was 18

 

 

"Duct - taped" !     Gonna miss u too brother, any chance of Bears Picnic August 1-4 in PA near old Stonehenge sites ?



#48 elder

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 06:32 PM

"Duct - taped" !     Gonna miss u too brother, any chance of Bears Picnic August 1-4 in PA near old Stonehenge sites ?

 

Dude! your not going either?!

You're another I would have missed dearly

 

Occifer you're really gonna have to suck it up this year, carry the torch.

No early nighty nights shall be reported back to me. capice?



#49 Jambear

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 06:58 PM

Seriously! You too mayfly! This is turning into a gathering of a few cool people....not vibes!

Jesus! I got to go on recon alone. I'm going to have to be the one licking hippie girls pinkies. Who's going to bring me new heady beers. :cry:

I can't do this all myself

#50 tyedyedee

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Posted 16 July 2013 - 07:15 PM

Seriously! You too mayfly! This is turning into a gathering of a few cool people....not vibes!

Jesus! I got to go on recon alone. I'm going to have to be the one licking hippie girls pinkies. Who's going to bring me new heady beers. :cry:

I can't do this all myself

sorry i suck at recon :sad: