Tropical Storm Sandy
Posted 25 October 2012 - 06:17 PM
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS FROM THE VARIOUS MODELING CENTERS, THE LION'S
SHARE OF GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH
HURRICANE SANDY WILL PASS CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE AMPLIFYING POLAR
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES TO BECOME INCORPORATED INTO
A HYBRID VORTEX OVER THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST NEXT TUESDAY.
THE HIGH DEGREE OF BLOCKING FROM EASTERN NORTH AMERICA ACROSS THE
ENTIRE ATLANTIC BASIN IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW THIS UNUSUAL MERGER TO
TAKE PLACE, AND ONCE THE COMBINED GYRE MATERIALIZES, IT SHOULD
SETTLE BACK TOWARD THE INTERIOR NORTHEAST THROUGH HALLOWEEN,
INVITING PERHAPS A GHOULISH NICKNAME FOR THE CYCLONE ALONG THE
LINES OF "FRANKENSTORM", AN ALLUSION TO MARY SHELLEY'S GOTHIC
CREATURE OF SYNTHESIZED ELEMENTS.
Posted 25 October 2012 - 07:26 PM
The European model came in, which confirms our worst fears we've had since this past Sunday. That model, which has been stubbornly consistent, now has support from all other models that ran today. EPAWA is now 100% ALL IN on a direct hit somewhere between Delmarva Peninsula and Long Island, NY. This will be a strong hurricane that will phase with an upper ...
level low and trough and form a hybrid extra-tropical storm, capable of but not limited to:
*high winds sustained 40-60mph with higher gusts possible at the height inland, 60-80mph+ along the coastal areas... contributing to property, tree, and power line damage.
*flooding rainfall on the order of 6-12" in a 24-36 hour period.
*coastal flooding and storm surge for a landfalling tropical system combined with a full moon, which enhances the wave action even further.
*widespread power outages that can last for days if not weeks.
*massive beach erosion and damage, along with destruction to poorly constructed homes and businesses along shore points.
*similar effects as Hurricane Irene last year for inland residents, if not worse, including all of eastern PA New Jersey.
Posted 25 October 2012 - 09:09 PM
I'm also gonna go buy a snow shovel.
Hopefully those two things will push this Sandy crack bitch out to sea.
Posted 26 October 2012 - 03:07 AM
Check these guys out. They have been on the money with every storm since I've been a fan.
Edit too add that this is for the lehigh valley, Pa area. They also do other local stuff. If you are into the weather thing, check them out!